Tropical Storm IDA holding steady with 70 mph winds. The mainproblems have been some flooding. Here are some of the other issues from Ida....
New Orleans... a boater is missing in the Mississippi River after capsizing in rough waters from Ida.
80 miles south of New Orleans... 2 oil rig workers were rescued from a damaged rig....click here
Grand Isle, LA: a section of a levee has collapsed.... here
New Orleans: some canal gates have been closed....click here
Down river from New Orleans: a boater is missing after his boat capsized in rough waters in the Mississippi River....click here
A number of ports along the Gulf Coast have been closed....click here
The storm will turn east tomorrow with the heaviest rains expected to stay along the coast.
Here is the link to the National Hurricane Center....click here
Scroll down to this morning's post for other links.
60s this week...50s next week and continued fairly mild into Thanksgiving.
In what could be an indicator of what is going to happen with the currently strengthening El Nino....
An area of stormy weather over the Indiana Ocean... if this remains strong as it heads into the SW Pacific Ocean over the next week or so.... that could be a sign that the EL Nino is still getting stronger.
If this stormy pattern decreases, the wind patterns that produced the current uptick in the El Nino would be changing meaning the Nino may have peaked and will be weakening.
A weak or weakening El Nino usually means above normal amount of snow for the Ohio Valley.
can we get a daily folklore count for mild vs cold/snowy like you did last year?
Chris.....the tally is up on the weather section at wave3.com I will post any new sayings here......JB
Posted by: chris b | November 09, 2009 at 07:14 PM
Weaken, weaken, weaken I say!! LOL
Posted by: Troy C. | November 09, 2009 at 07:28 PM
I hope we get a ton of snow, well maybe not a ton !!
Posted by: Bernie Kasper | November 09, 2009 at 11:28 PM
Hello John.
I know you can't be specific this far in advance, but the most recent GFS from midnight (Mon./Tues.) has light precipitation in the vicinity around Thanksgiving. It also has temperatures likely in the 30s/40s for Wed. and Thurs. of Thanksgiving week. Will the first flakes of the season fall on Nov. 25th and/or Nov. 26th? I'll be watching it, just as I know you will!
Sincerely, Rick
Posted by: Rick W. | November 10, 2009 at 04:06 AM
Rick, I've been predicting our first snowfall (of some sort!)for around Nov. 22-23, give or take a day or so either way...altho I'm not a met or anything, but my "gut instincts", esp. if they stay around this long (look back over the blog the past several weeks...)usually mean something?! We shall see, of course, but I've still not changed my mind!
Posted by: Debbie | November 10, 2009 at 10:46 AM
I was doing a bit of reading on some of the weather boards and the increasing el nino was the big topic. I don't follow the numbers, but does it appear the SST increase in late October was just a spike or was it a trend? If it was a spike, has it begun to abate?
Just as you said last week, there were a few comments about mid-December turning very cold so I would guess the el nino has cooled some. Still, I always get worried about predicted cold always a few weeks away.
Robbie....too early to tell if it is a spike or a continuing trend......JB
Posted by: Robbie | November 10, 2009 at 11:52 AM