Tuesday late morning 5/13

A quiet day here but for areas of southwest Missouri and northeast Oklahoma that were hit so hard over the weekend....they are under a moderate risk for severe weather including a 10% chance for tornadoes. SPC says:  ALONG WITH STRONG INSTABILITY...WIND PROFILES SHOUL REMAIN/BECOME FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS FROM TX/OK NE INTO THE MID MS VLY AS BROAD CURRENT OF SLIGHTLY DIFFLUENT...40-50 KT WSWLY MID-LVL FLOW PERSISTS AHEAD OF WRN TROUGH.  COUPLED WITH DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW...THE STORMS COULD YIELD VERY LARGE HAIL AND BOWING SEGMENTS WITH HIGH WIND.  A THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST FOR TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY WITH ANY LONG-LIVED/MORE DISCRETE STORMS THAT MIGHT FORM ALONG OR AHEAD OF THE DRY LINE.
The storm reports continue to come in from that weekend supercell. Look at the softball size hail!!  Cars were carried up to a half mile. Over 90 tornadoes have been confirmed from the weekend outbreak. The national total this year tops 900. That is a number we usually see toward the end of August.

Check out this short video from a cell phone of the Newton Co., MO tornado.....click  here

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I have posted a couple of times about the volcano in Chile. Here is a great photo of a lightining bolt on top of the volcano. Evidently this is fairly common to have electrical disturbances while a volcano is erupting.

To read about the environmental damage caused by the volcano so far.....click  here 

Comments

[Jennifer Tuggle]

John,
I am a child care director and we have a field trip to the Louisville Zoo tomorrow - Wednesday, May 14 from 9 am - 2 pm. Our policy is: we go if it is raining, we do not go if it is thunderstorming. After looking at LOTS of forecasts, I can't seem to get a very good feel as to what the % chance of thunderstorms is tomorrow during this time frame. Can you help?
-Jennifer

Jennifer....although I can't rule out a storm I think this is mostly showers.....JB