- Rain to brief snow with the arctic front next week
- A wave that may take advantage of that cold air around the 11th
- Another wave that looks to be rain to brief snow for now
DISCUSSION: I will have to break this up in dayparts.
Today: Watching the cloud deck sink closer to I-64. This will keep areas north in the 40s today (low 40s at best) and 50 or so south. Louisville on the edge.
Saturday: Clouds increase as the day wears on. Radar may start to show some precip at night...but likely will dry up before reaching the ground at the start.
Sunday: Cloudy with passing showers. It may be cold enough in pockets for a bit of sleet and/or snowflakes to mix in. Not a huge deal as some may get nothing.
Monday: Calm during the day.
Monday night/Tuesday: Surge of rain. Warmer (back into the 50s). Up to 1" of rain possible.
Wednesday/Thursday: This is where the models diverge on when the arctic front arrives. GFS is trending faster with it...arriving Wednesday with very little moisture to work with. EURO and Canadian are slower and develop a low along the front that would help promote rain ahead of the front early Thursday...then changing briefly to snow (showers) at the end of it.
Overall...the bigger story will be the drop in temperatures and bitter wind chills for the end of next week.
The video below explains the setup and also a look toward some new mid month data.